Natural gas is at $3.11/MMBtu, down from a high of $4.22/MMBtu.
Gas storage is at 2,214 Bcf, below last year’s 2,311 Bcf for the same time period, and also below the five-year average of 2,344 Bcf. The cold weather really drew down a lot of gas.
Drilling rigs are at 551, up from 543.
The ARCH2 Hydrogen Hub is less likely to be built now that there’s not a ton of money available from the federal government to fund it. That’s because there’s not a market for hydrogen.
West Virginia is in the PJM Interconnection, which is a regional transmission organization, or in other words, “part of our power grid”. The sudden increase in demand (mostly from AI data centers) and the lack of new power plants (WV has spiked quite a few power plant proposals in the past) has brought us to something of a crisis point. The President and 13 governors recently got together and told PJM what to do about it. PJM has its own ideas.
They’re building pipelines in Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana–18 Bcf/day of new capacity! I’ll grant that it’s easier to build pipelines there, but we have a lot of gas that needs to be moved out of here. Somebody will build one here soon. I don’t make a lot of predictions, but I predict that we’ll hear rumors of a new one in or around West Virginia before the end of the year.
There’s a shortage of gas turbines for use in power plants. One suggestion is to repurpose old jet aircraft engines, as they are gas turbines.
The Moundsville power plant plans have been finalized, which means that Calpine is going to build it. We have a Governor who actually supports natural gas as a source of electric power generation this time, so it shouldn’t get terminated at the last second. The linked article includes some information about Governor Morrisey’s 50 by 50 plan as well.
The recent cold weather snap has led to “freeze offs”, which means that natural gas facilities are unable to move gas through their lines. This affects all natural gas equipment, from the smallest wells to the largest power plants. You can’t avoid physics.
It was only a matter of time. A pooling order has been remanded to the West Virginia Oil and Gas Commission because the Commission didn’t look at the evidence regarding whether an oil and gas company (in this case Arsenal Resources) negotiated in good faith with oil and gas owners.
As LNG exports have risen, geopolitics have begun to affect the market.
During the extreme cold snap, LNG exporters turned around and imported LNG. This was in part because of a law that says you can’t transport LNG from one port in the U.S. to another, as the article explains.
Fidelis has announced an enormous power generation facility in Mason County, WV. It will probably power up next year, and start with about 2GW of generation capacity. It could ramp up to between 8 and 10 GW, which is truly enormous. If it does get that big, it will be the biggest in the country. Incidentally, we just wrapped up negotiations for a client on a part of the pipeline that will lead to this facility.
Antero has completed the purchase of HG Energy.
The EIA has increased 2026’s Henry Hub price forecast by 25%, from $3.46 to $4.31.
The accepted theory is that oil and natural gas are by-products of ancient plant matter getting buried and then changing into hydrocarbons. There is another theory out there, the abiotic theory, which is that oil and natural gas are the products of heat and pressure at depth, and that they are being produced constantly. The old landman that trained me up believed this. I didn’t believe it at the time. Lo and behold, there is some evidence that it may be true.
Northeast Natural Energy is partnering with Evolution Well Services to use e-fracking on their well sites. E-fracking uses natural gas from the well or nearby wells to run generators that provide electricity to power the frack pumps.
Manufacturing industries that rely on natural gas are hurt when severe cold hits because they are the first to have their supply turned off. It’s a problem that could be offset by additional pipelines.