Delay Rentals: The Old Becomes New Again

Once upon a time in the oil patch it was completely normal for West Virginia oil and gas companies to pay a delay rentals for their leases.

Then the Marcellus Shale boom happened and competition for mineral rights blew up. Instead of paying a delay rental, the companies started paying a signing bonus. Actually, it might be better to say that the companies started paying the entire delay rental up front and calling it a signing bonus because that’s what actually happened.

Like for so many other things, 2020 happened. Demand for natural gas dropped, driving the price of natural gas down to almost $1.50/MMBtu at one point, a price that had never been seen in the Marcellus Shale era. Banks realized that oil and gas was a bad investment, and stopped throwing fists full of Benjamins at the drilling companies.

Without loads of cash, oil and gas companies had to cut back. But the nature of oil and gas wells is that their production goes down every day, so the companies had to keep drilling new wells. To drill new wells they had to keep taking new leases. You see the problem, right?

In order to make it cheaper to acquire new properties, one company, EQT, has started paying for leases the old fashioned way–delay rentals.

What’s, exactly, is a delay rental you ask? There are two parts to explain. The Rental, and The Delay.

The Rental: A delay rental is a rent payment that’s due on the anniversary of the lease. If you think of this as a commercial lease on a building where there is one large payment per year, it might make more sense. Right now, EQT is offering $250 per acre, so if you owned 10 acres you would get $2500 at the beginning of each year of the lease.

The Delay: A delay rental payment is made so that the oil and gas company can delay drilling on the property, but keep the property under contract. Historically, oil and gas companies would sign a lease and the lease would say that they had to drill a well within 30 or 90 or 180 days (or some other time period) or they would have to pay a rental or lose the lease. As the industry matured, they dropped the requirement to drill within a time period and just started agreeing upfront to pay a delay rental for a certain number of years.

There is one very important thing to know about Delay Rental leases. There is always language in the lease that says the company will no longer have to pay delay rentals if they drill a well. You don’t want this. They will change it.

There is one other very important thing to know about Delay Rental leases. There is also almost always language that says they will be able to recoup any delay rental paid once royalties start flowing. You don’t want this. They will change it.

So the next time EQT calls you up about a lease, take a good hard look at the language of the lease and make sure you understand what you’re agreeing to (or have your local oil and gas attorney take a look at it). You might find that you save yourself an awful lot of money and confusion if you do.

The State of Oil and Gas: October 15, 2020

Natural gas prices are $2.79/MMBtu after hitting a low below $2.00 about three weeks ago, and rig counts are at 269, climbing slowly as drillers realize that their production numbers are falling off too much.

Chevron has at least one bid for its Marcellus/Utica holdings. EQT has offered $750 million. Chevron has about 800,000 acres and some pipeline rights up for sale, so that’s bargain basement territory, right around $1000 per acre. It’s hard to imagine that other bids are for significantly more, though.

Natural gas prices will be lower for many West Virginia consumers this winter.

Demand for natural gas is down, but drilling is down even more. New wells won’t supply even the reduced demand. Drillers don’t have the money to drill enough new wells. Instead, they are completing drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs), wells that they drilled in the past but didn’t frack.

Gas prices nosedived, but that’s pretty typical this time of year.

LNG exports seem to be picking back up, judged by the line of tankers in the Gulf.

Libya is starting up oil production, again, but not totally.

Slapping Governor Jim Justice in the face, the West Virginia Economic Development Authority approved a direct loan (not just a loan guarantee) to the Brooke County power plant.

The Mountaineer NGL Storage project has requested that the State of Ohio cancel it’s permits. This is bad news, but not necessarily an end. This project is very dependent on the PTT Chemical cracker plant getting built, and they keep kicking that can down the road. If the cracker gets final approval, the storage project will probably get final approval.

The EIA just now (October 2020!) published numbers for 2019 for natural gas production, use, and export. All three set record highs.

One prediction has natural gas prices hitting $5/MMBtu next year. I have a hard time believing that, as it’s only too easy to bring more rigs online and increase production to offset any rise in demand. That’s what horizontal fracking has done to the oil and natural gas market.

Here’s a good analysis of current natural gas supply and demand over at Seeking Alpha. Short take: demand is slowing, but supply has slowed more.

Since we’ve posted one prediction, here’s another. Yahoo Finance is saying 2021 will see $3.13/MMBtu average for the year, due to reduced production. I’d say that’s a more realistic price prediction.

Southwestern Energy owns a lot of leases in West Virginia. Their bank has reaffirmed their line of credit of $1.8 billion. They must be doing OK, even in these lean times.

Saudi Arabia plans to increase oil production from 12 million barrels per day to 13 million barrels per day. Expect to see prices at the pump go down.

The Brooke County power plant that the Governor was fighting with Brooke County over is now dead. The CEO said that investors were scared off by the fight. Well, those weren’t his words, but read between the lines for yourself.

A third prediction puts natural gas prices ending 2021 at $4.00/MMBtu. Huh. Those folks follow the market forces a lot closer than we do, so maybe…..?