The State of Oil and Gas: June 16, 2018

An interesting analysis of the current state of oil and gas by Financial Times.  Essentially, lots of people thought that oil prices would stay lower for longer, and the recent jump up over $70/bbl has encouraged a lot of people to think that lower for longer is over.  The article argues that the price of oil will drop again when OPEC starts to open up the spigots again, and explains why they will again in the near future.  It’s that explanation that is worth the read.

Also in the news today, Saudi Arabia has increased oil output by 162,000 barrels per day in May.  That puts them within 28,000 bbl/day of their agreed cap.  With oil prices over $70/bbl, and the oversupply just about gone, it makes sense for them to start producing a little more.

There’s a rumor out there that the Parkersburg cracker plant is back on.  The article was in the Pittsburgh Business Times which requires a subscription.

With new pipelines coming online in the Marcellus/Utica region, one would expect that total production from the region would increase.  It hasn’t.  The Mountain Valley Pipeline and the Atlantic Coast Pipeline might not end up running at anywhere close to full capacity when they are completed because producers are apparently not drilling enough wells to fill what we already have.

I ran across this article from about 2014 that gave a quick overview of most of the big players in the West Virginia Marcellus/Utica area at the time. It’s fascinating to read what people were saying just four years ago and think about what has happened since.

Mountain Valley Pipeline has been issued another violation notice in regards to environmental standards.

This article from Forbes suggests that oil prices will stay up for the next six months.  The arguments is that demand has grown, Saudi Arabia won’t increase production, Iran won’t be allowed to increase production by the U.S., the rest of OPEC can’t increase production and may even decrease production, and the U.S. can’t increase production quite fast enough.  It’s an interesting thought for sure.

This article, also from Forbes, goes into a little more detail as to why U.S. producers can’t increase production fast enough.

Kallanish Energy summarized the Energy Information Administration’s “Short-Term Energy Outlook”.  Energy production from gas will go up about 2% in the next two years, from coal will go down about 2%, from renewables will go up about 1%, and from nuclear will go down 1%.  They’re not big changes, but they fit the overall trend of the last few years.

Another article from Kallanish Energy discusses where the money for a natural gas liquids storage hub in the Marcellus/Utica region will come from, and what it takes to get that money.